Bonds

Bonds Analysis & Opinion

Treasury Yield’s Failed Head And Shoulders

Treasury Yield’s Failed Head And Shoulders

After celebrating a brief “head and shoulders” bearish breakdown on the daily, the U.S 10-year Treasury yield returned back above…
U.S. Yield Curve Is Deeply Inverted Signaling More Pain Ahead

U.S. Yield Curve Is Deeply Inverted Signaling More Pain Ahead

While the Federal Reserve continues trying to rein in prices with its aggressive tightening – macro-speculators are busy focusing on…
Rates Spark: Rock-Solid German Bund

Rates Spark: Rock-Solid German Bund

German Bund yields holding on to last week’s gains confirm the market’s recessionary mood. We identify potential drivers for 10-year…
10-Year Yields On The Neckline

10-Year Yields On The Neckline

Treasury yields on the 10-year note are balancing on daily support, that is on the neckline of a bearish potential…
10-Year Treasury Yield ‘Fair Value’ Estimate

10-Year Treasury Yield ‘Fair Value’ Estimate

US headline inflation continues to set to new four-decade highs and the Federal Reserve continues to signal that it will…
U.S. Bond Market: After Strong Rally In July, Uncertainty Lies Ahead

U.S. Bond Market: After Strong Rally In July, Uncertainty Lies Ahead

Treasury rates fell sharply as interest rate volatility dropped High-yield bonds rose big last month, but uncertainty lies ahead Traders…
U.S. 10-Year Yields Obeying The Fed?

U.S. 10-Year Yields Obeying The Fed?

The US 10-Year yield is balanced on long-term support. Is this because investors aren’t afraid of inflation anymore and thus…
Using Multiple Yield Curves To Predict Recessions

Using Multiple Yield Curves To Predict Recessions

The Treasury yield curve is widely used as a first approximation of estimating recession risk. This is usually limited to…
U.S. Bonds Rallied Offering Ballast Compared To Losses Elsewhere

U.S. Bonds Rallied Offering Ballast Compared To Losses Elsewhere

Fixed-income markets in the US reverted to their traditional role of delivering upside support when the rest of the portfolio…
Italian Vs. German Bond Spread Widens

Italian Vs. German Bond Spread Widens

Political crisis in Italy has been reflected in the widening spread in the Italy 10 Year vs. Germany 10 Year…
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